geopolitics
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will China impose a naval blockade on Taiwan in 2026?
Probability
6%
Volume
$9.9M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Traders
2,891
24h Change
-2.3%
Price History
Last trade: $0.06 · Spread: $0.02
This market resolves YES if China imposes a full or partial naval blockade on Taiwan at any point during 2026, as confirmed by at least two major international news agencies.
Market ID
china-taiwan-tensions
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Place Order
LIVE$
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Compliance Status
KYC RequiredVerified
MNPI AttestationRequired
Restricted ListClear
SurveillanceActive
Market Info
CreatedJan 15, 2026
ResolutionDec 31, 2026
Fee0.02%